Model Predictions
| Model | William & Mary Tribe | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.8% | 98.2% | +22.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +21 (88-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
William & Mary Tribe
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omar Prewitt * | 33 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| David Cohn * | 27 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Paul Rowley * | 26 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Daniel Dixon * | 25 | 4-14 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Jack Whitman * | 16 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Nathan Knight | 21 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Connor Burchfield | 16 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Greg Malinowski | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Oliver Tot | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Justin Pierce | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Michael Schlotman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Jones * | 38 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Luke Kennard * | 35 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Frank Jackson * | 33 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Grayson Allen * | 29 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 6-6 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Amile Jefferson * | 24 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Chase Jeter | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Antonio Vrankovic | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Javin DeLaurier | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jack White | 3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Justin Robinson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nick Pagliuca | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter