Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.4% | 58.6% | +1.9 | ✗ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -10 (55-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Kennard * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Jayson Tatum * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 35 | - |
| Matt Jones * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Grayson Allen * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Amile Jefferson * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Harry Giles | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Frank Jackson | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Marques Bolden | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Wilkins * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| L. Perrantes * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 18 | - |
| M. Shayok * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Dallin Hall * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| J. Salt * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| T. Jerome | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| M. Diakite | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - |
| K. Guy | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| D. Thompson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Reuter | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter