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2017-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Wake Forest Demon Deacons Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 20.4% 79.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 24.8% 75.2% - โœ“
Margin 15.5% 84.5% +9.3 โœ“ (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 41.3% 58.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 15.6% 84.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 15.2% 84.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 29.5% 70.5% - โœ“

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +5 (99-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bryant Crawford * 38 8-19 2-6 3-4 1 6 3 0 0 21 12 -
John Collins * 33 13-18 0-0 5-6 15 0 1 0 2 31 27 -
Keyshawn Woods * 31 4-7 1-2 4-4 3 2 0 0 0 13 11 -
D. Mitoglou * 24 3-7 0-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 8 4 -
Austin Arians * 17 1-2 1-1 2-3 1 2 0 0 1 5 5 -
Brandon Childress 31 3-10 1-4 3-4 2 3 0 0 0 10 5 -
Trent VanHorn 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
Doral Moore 7 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 4 5 -
Greg McClinton 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luke Kennard * 37 9-15 3-7 2-2 4 3 0 0 1 23 14 -
Jayson Tatum * 35 6-11 3-5 4-4 7 2 0 0 1 19 16 -
Matt Jones * 35 4-7 2-4 0-1 2 2 1 0 1 10 7 -
Amile Jefferson * 33 7-10 0-0 2-2 7 2 0 5 0 16 20 -
Grayson Allen * 28 3-8 3-6 2-3 4 6 0 0 2 11 11 -
Frank Jackson 22 4-7 2-5 2-2 3 3 0 0 0 12 11 -
Marques Bolden 6 2-2 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 6 5 -
Harry Giles 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter