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2017-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Wake Forest Demon Deacons Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 9.5% 90.5% -
Bradley-Terry 14.3% 85.7% -
Margin 7.7% 92.3% +13.6 (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 30.0% 70.0% -
Efficiency 11.1% 88.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.9% 79.1% -
Log Adjusted 20.8% 79.2% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +5 (99-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Crawford * 38 8-19 2-6 3-4 1 6 3 0 0 21 12 -
J. Collins * 33 13-18 0-0 5-6 15 0 1 0 2 31 27 -
K. Woods * 31 4-7 1-2 4-4 3 2 0 0 0 13 11 -
D. Mitoglou * 24 3-7 0-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 8 4 -
A. Arians * 17 1-2 1-1 2-3 1 2 0 0 1 5 5 -
B. Childress 31 3-10 1-4 3-4 2 3 0 0 0 10 5 -
T. VanHorn 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
D. Moore 7 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 4 5 -
G. McClinton 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Kennard * 37 9-15 3-7 2-2 4 3 0 0 1 23 14 -
J. Tatum * 35 6-11 3-5 4-4 7 2 0 0 1 19 16 -
M. Jones * 35 4-7 2-4 0-1 2 2 1 0 1 10 7 -
A. Jefferson * 33 7-10 0-0 2-2 7 2 0 5 0 16 20 -
G. Allen * 28 3-8 3-6 2-3 4 6 0 0 2 11 11 -
F. Jackson 22 4-7 2-5 2-2 3 3 0 0 0 12 11 -
M. Bolden 6 2-2 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 6 5 -
H. Giles III 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter