Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Miami Hurricanes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.6% | 30.4% | -4.6 | ✗ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Hurricanes +5 (55-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Kennard | 40 | 6-20 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 3 | - |
| Jayson Tatum | 40 | 4-16 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Matt Jones | 37 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Frank Jackson | 29 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Amile Jefferson | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Harry Giles | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Marques Bolden | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
Miami Hurricanes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Reed | 37 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| B. Brown | 36 | 11-18 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 18 | - |
| K. Murphy | 36 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| J. Newton | 24 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -1 | - |
| A. Lawrence II | 20 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Vasiljevic | 20 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Izundu | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| D. Hernandez | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter