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2017-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Miami Hurricanes Spread Result
Elo 85.9% 14.1% -
Bradley-Terry 68.8% 31.2% -
Margin 79.6% 20.4% -7.5 (12.5 off)
Pythagorean 66.8% 33.2% -
Efficiency 88.0% 12.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 77.6% 22.4% -
Log Adjusted 77.8% 22.2% -

Actual: Miami Hurricanes +5 (55-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Kennard 40 6-20 2-6 2-3 6 1 2 1 3 16 3 -
J. Tatum 40 4-16 0-7 0-0 7 2 1 1 0 8 3 -
M. Jones 37 2-9 0-3 0-0 3 3 1 0 3 4 -1 -
F. Jackson 29 6-11 3-5 1-2 6 3 1 0 3 16 12 -
A. Jefferson 21 2-3 0-0 0-2 5 0 0 0 3 4 3 -
H. Giles III 19 1-4 0-0 0-2 8 0 1 0 1 2 6 -
M. Bolden 14 0-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 3 0 0 4 -

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Reed 37 3-11 0-1 3-4 10 1 3 0 1 9 11 -
B. Brown 36 11-18 1-2 2-2 4 4 2 2 1 25 18 -
K. Murphy 36 3-6 0-0 1-2 6 1 1 1 1 7 9 -
J. Newton 24 3-10 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 0 4 7 -1 -
A. Lawrence II 20 0-4 0-2 2-2 3 2 1 0 2 2 2 -
D. Vasiljevic 20 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
E. Izundu 18 1-5 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 2 0 3 6 -
D. Hernandez 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter