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2017-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Boston College Eagles Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 3.3% 96.7% -
Bradley-Terry 10.1% 89.9% -
Margin 3.0% 97.0% +19.1 (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 13.6% 86.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 3.6% 96.4% -
Log Adjusted 3.6% 96.4% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +11 (93-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Bowman 36 8-15 0-3 3-5 3 4 3 0 5 19 9 -
A.J. Turner 35 5-9 1-4 2-2 6 5 0 0 1 13 14 -
J. Robinson 32 8-18 1-3 4-4 2 0 1 0 5 21 1 -
M. Jeffers 29 3-4 0-0 2-2 12 1 0 0 2 8 15 -
C. Tava 25 2-3 0-0 2-4 4 1 2 0 4 6 6 -
J. Chatman 25 4-7 1-4 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 9 1 -
N. Popovic 9 1-5 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
G. Owens 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 2 5 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Allen 37 5-9 2-6 0-2 5 11 3 0 5 12 17 -
M. Jones 36 4-7 2-5 0-0 2 2 2 0 3 10 6 -
J. Tatum 30 6-9 1-2 9-10 6 3 4 2 5 22 23 -
L. Kennard 28 2-6 1-2 4-5 4 1 1 1 0 9 10 -
F. Jackson 25 4-9 2-6 5-8 3 0 1 0 1 15 9 -
H. Giles III 24 5-8 0-0 2-3 5 1 1 1 1 12 11 -
A. Jefferson 13 5-7 0-0 1-2 2 2 0 0 0 11 8 -
M. Bolden 7 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 1 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter