Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.0% | 77.0% | +6.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +8 (86-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Jackson | 36 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | - |
| J. Berry II | 32 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| K. Meeks | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| N. Britt | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| L. Maye | 20 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| K. Williams | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Pinson | 19 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| T. Bradley | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| S. Woods | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| B. Robinson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Kennard | 36 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 10 | - |
| M. Jones | 35 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J. Tatum | 32 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 7-8 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 19 | - |
| G. Allen | 30 | 9-15 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 14 | - |
| A. Jefferson | 30 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| F. Jackson | 20 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| H. Giles III | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Bolden | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter