Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 91.9% | 8.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 77.3% | 22.7% | -6.7 | ✗ (22.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles +16 (88-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Kennard * | 40 | 8-15 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 12 | - |
| J. Tatum * | 38 | 7-17 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 5 | - |
| M. Jones * | 36 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| G. Allen * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| H. Giles III * | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| C. Jeter | 25 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - |
| F. Jackson | 21 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| M. Bolden | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bacon * | 33 | 6-15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 4 | - |
| X. Rathan-Mayes * | 28 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 12 | - |
| T. Mann * | 26 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| J. Isaac * | 20 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| M. Ojo * | 13 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Smith | 22 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| B. Angola-Rodas | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| P. Cofer | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| T. Forrest | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| CJ Walker | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| P. Savoy | 9 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| C. Koumadje | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter