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Denver Nuggets

Also known as: Denver Nuggets
Program History

2009 Team Stats (72 games)

103.4
PPG
100.3
Opp
+3.1
Margin
46.7%
FG%
37.0%
3P%
75.9%
FT%
41.6
RPG
22.1
APG
15.1
TO
96.5
Est. poss./game
103.5
Adj PPG
99.0
Adj Opp PPG
#6
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2008-2009
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1172 (#6) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1142 (#5) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 1105 (#4) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.3 More โ†’ +4.5 (#6) HCA +3.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ +7.5 (#3) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.617 (#6) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +4.4 More โ†’ 0.618 (#6) NetEff +4.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.3 More โ†’ 0.621 (#6) AdjNet +4.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.3 More โ†’ 0.621 (#6) AdjNet +4.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 103.5 | AdjD 99.0 More โ†’ 0.600 (#6) AdjO 103.5 | AdjD 99.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 105.8 | AdjD 99.2 More โ†’ 0.647 (#3) AdjO 105.8 | AdjD 99.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.660 (#5) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.669 (#5) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 90 | GP 98 More โ†’ 1117 (#4) RD 90 | GP 98

2009 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2008-10-29 @ Utah Jazz L 94 - 98
2008-10-31 @ LA Clippers W 113 - 103
2008-11-01 vs Los Angeles Lakers L 97 - 104
2008-11-05 @ Golden State Warriors L 101 - 111
2008-11-07 vs Dallas Mavericks W 108 - 105
2008-11-09 vs Memphis Grizzlies W 100 - 90
2008-11-11 @ Charlotte Hornets W 88 - 80
2008-11-13 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 99 - 110
2008-11-14 @ Boston Celtics W 94 - 85
2008-11-16 vs Minnesota Timberwolves W 90 - 84
2008-11-18 vs Milwaukee Bucks W 114 - 105
2008-11-19 @ San Antonio Spurs W 91 - 81
2008-11-21 @ Los Angeles Lakers L 90 - 104
2008-11-23 vs Chicago Bulls W 114 - 101
2008-11-26 @ LA Clippers W 106 - 105
2008-11-27 vs New Orleans Pelicans L 101 - 105
2008-11-29 @ Minnesota Timberwolves W 106 - 97
2008-11-30 vs Houston Rockets W 104 - 94
2008-12-02 vs Toronto Raptors W 132 - 93
2008-12-04 vs San Antonio Spurs L 91 - 108
2008-12-06 @ Sacramento Kings - Incomplete score
2008-12-10 vs Minnesota Timberwolves W 116 - 105
2008-12-13 vs Golden State Warriors W 123 - 105
2008-12-15 @ Dallas Mavericks W 98 - 88
2008-12-16 @ Houston Rockets L 96 - 108
2008-12-19 vs Cleveland Cavaliers L 88 - 105
2008-12-20 @ Phoenix Suns L 101 - 108
2008-12-22 vs Portland Trail Blazers W 97 - 89
2008-12-23 @ Portland Trail Blazers - Incomplete score
2008-12-26 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 105 - 101
2008-12-28 @ New York Knicks W 117 - 110
2008-12-31 @ Toronto Raptors W 114 - 107
2009-01-02 @ Oklahoma City Thunder W 122 - 120
2009-01-03 vs New Orleans Pelicans W 105 - 100
2009-01-07 vs Miami Heat W 108 - 97
2009-01-09 vs Detroit Pistons L 90 - 93
2009-01-13 vs Dallas Mavericks W 99 - 97
2009-01-15 vs Phoenix Suns W 119 - 113
2009-01-17 vs Orlando Magic L 88 - 106
2009-01-19 @ Houston Rockets L 113 - 115
2009-01-20 vs Sacramento Kings W 118 - 99
2009-01-25 vs Utah Jazz W 117 - 97
2009-01-27 @ Memphis Grizzlies W 100 - 85
2009-01-28 @ New Orleans Pelicans L 81 - 94
2009-01-30 vs Charlotte Hornets W 110 - 99
2009-02-06 @ Washington Wizards W 124 - 103
2009-02-07 @ Brooklyn Nets L 70 - 114
2009-02-10 @ Miami Heat W 99 - 82
2009-02-11 @ Orlando Magic W 82 - 73
2009-02-18 @ Philadelphia 76ers W 101 - 89
2009-02-20 @ Chicago Bulls L 99 - 116
2009-02-22 @ Milwaukee Bucks L 117 - 120
2009-02-23 vs Boston Celtics L 76 - 114
2009-02-25 vs Atlanta Hawks W 110 - 109
2009-02-27 vs Los Angeles Lakers W 90 - 79
2009-03-01 @ Indiana Pacers L 94 - 100
2009-03-03 @ Detroit Pistons L 95 - 100
2009-03-05 vs Portland Trail Blazers W 106 - 90
2009-03-06 @ Utah Jazz L 91 - 97
2009-03-08 @ Sacramento Kings - Incomplete score
2009-03-09 vs Houston Rockets L 95 - 97
2009-03-11 vs Oklahoma City Thunder W 112 - 99
2009-03-14 vs LA Clippers W 107 - 94
2009-03-16 vs Brooklyn Nets W 121 - 96
2009-03-23 @ Phoenix Suns L 115 - 118
2009-03-25 @ New Orleans Pelicans W 101 - 88
2009-03-27 @ Dallas Mavericks W 103 - 101
2009-03-28 vs Golden State Warriors W 129 - 116
2009-03-31 vs New York Knicks W 111 - 104
2009-04-02 vs Utah Jazz W 114 - 104
2009-04-04 vs LA Clippers - Incomplete score
2009-04-05 @ Minnesota Timberwolves W 110 - 87
2009-04-08 vs Oklahoma City Thunder W 122 - 112
2009-04-09 @ Los Angeles Lakers L 102 - 116
2009-04-13 vs Sacramento Kings W 118 - 98
2009-04-15 @ Portland Trail Blazers L 76 - 104
2009-04-19 vs New Orleans Pelicans W 113 - 84
2009-04-22 vs New Orleans Pelicans W 108 - 93
2009-04-25 @ New Orleans Pelicans L 93 - 95
2009-04-27 @ New Orleans Pelicans W 121 - 63
2009-04-29 vs New Orleans Pelicans W 107 - 86
2009-05-03 vs Dallas Mavericks W 109 - 95
2009-05-05 vs Dallas Mavericks W 117 - 105
2009-05-09 @ Dallas Mavericks W 106 - 105
2009-05-11 @ Dallas Mavericks L 117 - 119
2009-05-13 vs Dallas Mavericks W 124 - 110
2009-05-19 @ Los Angeles Lakers L 103 - 105
2009-05-21 @ Los Angeles Lakers W 106 - 103
2009-05-23 vs Los Angeles Lakers L 97 - 103
2009-05-25 vs Los Angeles Lakers W 120 - 101
2009-05-27 @ Los Angeles Lakers L 94 - 103
2009-05-29 vs Los Angeles Lakers L 92 - 119

2009 Roster

Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Carmelo Anthony Carmelo Anthony G 57 34.7 22.4 7.1 3.3 1.2 0.4 3.0 18.2 13.1 - - - - 44.1 38.1 77.9 - 52.8 46.8
Allen Iverson G 3 41.0 18.7 2.7 6.7 1.0 0.3 3.3 13.3 12.7 - - - - 45.0 25.0 72.0 - 54.9 47.5
Chauncey Billups G 68 35.5 18.2 3.1 6.4 1.2 0.2 2.3 12.9 13.9 - - - - 41.8 40.6 91.9 - 59.1 50.1
JR Smith G 71 27.4 14.8 3.7 3.0 0.9 0.2 1.8 11.4 9.3 - - - - 44.3 39.8 75.4 - 57.4 53.8
Nene Hilario Nene Hilario G 68 32.6 14.4 7.7 1.4 1.1 1.3 2.0 9.3 14.6 - - - - 59.2 20.0 72.8 - 63.5 59.3
Kenyon Martin G 61 32.1 11.5 6.1 2.0 1.5 1.1 1.7 9.8 10.8 - - - - 49.0 36.1 59.4 - 52.1 50.1
Linas Kleiza G 72 22.3 10.2 4.1 0.7 0.4 0.2 1.0 7.9 6.6 - - - - 45.7 32.1 72.5 - 56.2 52.4
Chris Andersen Chris Andersen G 61 20.6 6.0 6.2 0.5 0.6 2.5 1.0 4.0 10.7 - - - - 51.8 22.2 70.4 - 58.1 52.2
Dahntay Jones G 69 18.2 5.6 2.0 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.9 4.2 4.5 - - - - 47.6 60.0 72.1 - 54.7 49.1
Anthony Carter G 69 22.9 5.2 2.6 4.5 1.2 0.2 1.9 5.0 6.9 - - - - 42.3 25.0 72.9 - 48.3 45.2
Renaldo Balkman G 44 13.7 4.6 3.4 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.6 3.5 5.7 - - - - 54.2 16.7 69.2 - 57.7 54.6
Johan Petro G 23 8.0 2.0 2.3 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.4 2.2 2.6 - - - - 41.2 0.0 45.5 - 42.1 41.2
Chucky Atkins F 10 8.2 1.9 0.3 2.0 0.2 0.1 0.6 1.9 2.0 - - - - 31.6 25.0 100.0 - 45.8 39.5
Jason Hart - 8 3.6 1.6 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.0 - - - - 55.6 0.0 75.0 - 60.4 55.6
Sonny Weems - 11 4.6 1.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 1.9 -0.2 - - - - 33.3 0.0 37.5 - 34.7 33.3
Cheikh Samb G 5 3.8 0.8 1.8 0.2 0.0 0.6 0.4 2.0 1.0 - - - - 20.0 0 0 - 20.0 20.0
Juwan Howard F 3 7.4 0.7 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 2.7 - - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG