Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +3 (108-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Kidd * | 40 | 8-14 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 25 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 39 | 8-20 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 38 | 7-16 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 26 | 4-15 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 25 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 11 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Gerald Green * | 14 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 13 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Antoine Wright * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| James Singleton | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nene Hilario * | 35 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 34 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 33 | 7-18 | 0-1 | 14-14 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 21 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 30 | 5-17 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| JR Smith * | 26 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 24 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Linas Kleiza * | 14 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
* = starter