Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.9% | 28.1% | -3.8 | ✓ (9.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.2% | 45.8% | -0.9 | ✓ (12.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -13 (88-101). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chauncey Billups * | 41 | 7-13 | 5-7 | 7-7 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 25 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 41 | 3-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 36 | 10-24 | 1-4 | 8-8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 12 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 28 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 18 | - |
| JR Smith * | 23 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Johan Petro * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Renaldo Balkman * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Linas Kleiza | 6 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David West * | 42 | 6-19 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Chris Paul * | 39 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 9-10 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 23 | - |
| James Posey * | 30 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 30 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Hilton Armstrong * | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Julian Wright * | 23 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Morris Peterson * | 21 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Sean Marks * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Bowen * | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter