Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.1% | 66.9% | +3.9 | ✗ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -2 (95-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metta World Peace * | 36 | 8-20 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 36 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 32 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 29 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 26 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Aaron Brooks * | 24 | 7-13 | 2-2 | 3-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Von Wafer * | 14 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chauncey Billups * | 43 | 9-21 | 3-7 | 7-7 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 18 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 39 | 8-21 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 6 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 38 | 4-15 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| JR Smith * | 33 | 3-10 | 3-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Linas Kleiza * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jason Hart | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter