Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.8% | 95.2% | +16.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +19 (118-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Thompson * | 35 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| John Salmons * | 32 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Kevin Martin * | 32 | 8-19 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 11 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 27 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Bobby Jackson * | 23 | 5-10 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Francisco Garcia * | 21 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 20 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Spencer Hawes * | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Mikki Moore * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Donte Greene | 8 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Quincy Douby | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kenny Thomas | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JR Smith * | 34 | 7-9 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 31 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Linas Kleiza * | 30 | 11-17 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 29 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 10-11 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 22 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 17 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Renaldo Balkman * | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Johan Petro | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Sonny Weems | 5 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
* = starter