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2009-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Denver Nuggets Spread Result
Margin 48.2% 51.8% +0.4 (12.6 off)
Pythagorean 50.0% 50.0% -

Actual: Denver Nuggets +13 (129-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamal Crawford * 41 10-21 5-11 5-6 5 5 0 0 5 30 14 -
Anthony Morrow * 36 7-14 4-8 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 18 4 -
Monta Ellis * 36 6-19 1-2 4-4 7 4 1 0 1 17 9 -
Kelenna Azubuike * 35 8-17 3-7 2-2 9 3 1 0 4 21 13 -
Anthony Randolph * 30 4-11 0-0 2-2 14 2 3 4 3 10 19 -
C.J. Watson * 27 5-13 1-4 2-2 7 4 2 0 1 13 12 -
Ronny Turiaf * 20 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 2 0 4 7 -
Rob Kurz 12 0-2 0-0 3-4 6 0 0 0 1 3 6 -

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Carmelo Anthony * 30 12-21 3-5 4-4 6 5 1 0 2 31 20 -
Chauncey Billups * 28 3-10 3-8 5-6 2 6 1 0 0 14 13 -
Kenyon Martin * 25 3-5 0-0 5-9 5 1 1 4 0 11 17 -
Nene Hilario * 24 4-5 0-0 0-0 7 1 2 2 3 8 12 -
Anthony Carter * 23 1-4 0-1 1-2 3 13 2 0 1 3 16 -
Linas Kleiza * 21 9-14 1-4 3-4 4 1 1 0 1 22 13 -
Chris Andersen * 20 4-6 0-0 2-4 11 1 2 2 1 10 19 -
JR Smith * 20 4-13 2-7 0-0 2 4 0 0 0 10 3 -
Renaldo Balkman * 20 4-4 1-1 1-2 2 2 2 1 1 10 12 -
Dahntay Jones * 17 4-6 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 8 6 -
Johan Petro 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Jason Hart 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -

* = starter