Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.0% | 41.0% | -2.0 | ✗ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +6 (100-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chauncey Billups * | 38 | 9-21 | 2-5 | 7-7 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 20 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 37 | 8-24 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 5 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 32 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Linas Kleiza * | 23 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| JR Smith * | 22 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 15 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarrett Jack * | 42 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 11-12 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 20 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 37 | 8-16 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 27 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 37 | 8-17 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | - |
| T.J. Ford * | 29 | 2-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Brandon Rush * | 25 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 19 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 16 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Stephen Graham * | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter