Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +2 (99-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 42 | 15-26 | 2-6 | 12-12 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 44 | 32 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 36 | 6-15 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 29 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Antoine Wright * | 28 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 22 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Gerald Green * | 16 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Devean George * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| DeSagana Diop | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| James Singleton | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nene Hilario * | 36 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 34 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 34 | 6-16 | 2-4 | 9-9 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 11 | - |
| JR Smith * | 32 | 1-14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 30 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 29 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 21 | 7-8 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Linas Kleiza * | 21 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | - |
* = starter