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2008-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 76.1% 23.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 73.3% 26.7% - โœ“
Margin 65.7% 34.3% -3.6 โœ“ (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 55.9% 44.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 70.3% 29.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 69.8% 30.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 69.8% 30.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 58.5% 41.5% - โœ“

Actual: New York Knicks -7 (110-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chauncey Billups * 38 4-12 1-5 5-8 4 5 1 0 2 14 10 -
Carmelo Anthony * 35 13-19 1-1 5-7 9 4 1 0 1 32 26 -
Nene Hilario * 34 4-8 0-0 5-8 9 1 1 1 3 13 14 -
Kenyon Martin * 31 5-10 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 0 2 11 3 -
Anthony Carter * 26 2-3 1-1 0-0 3 3 2 0 4 5 6 -
JR Smith * 25 7-12 2-5 0-0 5 3 3 0 1 16 14 -
Renaldo Balkman * 17 3-4 0-0 3-3 8 0 0 0 0 9 13 -
Linas Kleiza * 15 2-4 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 5 2 -
Dahntay Jones * 15 5-7 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 12 8 -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Duhon * 43 5-10 4-6 3-3 4 11 2 1 1 17 24 -
Jared Jeffries * 37 5-8 0-1 0-2 4 4 1 0 2 10 9 -
David Lee * 37 7-9 0-0 5-7 12 2 0 0 1 19 23 -
Wilson Chandler * 31 6-19 1-9 4-7 4 1 0 0 0 17 3 -
Nate Robinson * 30 5-17 3-8 7-7 2 4 2 0 1 20 10 -
Al Harrington * 26 5-12 2-5 3-4 3 0 2 0 2 15 6 -
Tim Thomas * 18 4-7 1-3 0-1 6 1 0 0 2 9 7 -
Quentin Richardson * 14 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 3 2 -

* = starter