Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +14 (109-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 40 | 12-22 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 21 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 37 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 33 | 7-16 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 0 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 32 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 6 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Hollins * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Antoine Wright * | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| James Singleton | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Gerald Green | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chauncey Billups * | 38 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 36 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 19 | - |
| JR Smith * | 31 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 1-5 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 29 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 7-7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 22 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 20 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 21 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 17 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Linas Kleiza * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Johan Petro | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Jason Hart | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter