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2009-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 78.7% 21.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 69.2% 30.8% - โœ—
Margin 57.2% 42.8% -1.6 โœ— (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 53.0% 47.0% - โœ—
Efficiency 64.7% 35.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 64.4% 35.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 64.3% 35.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 54.4% 45.6% - โœ—

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +3 (120-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Carmelo Anthony * 40 10-19 0-1 13-16 9 2 1 0 4 33 22 -
Chauncey Billups * 40 6-12 4-6 5-6 4 4 0 0 2 21 15 -
Nene Hilario * 33 6-11 0-0 5-5 7 1 0 0 5 17 9 -
JR Smith * 31 2-9 1-5 4-5 4 5 1 0 3 9 7 -
Linas Kleiza * 24 5-8 0-1 3-4 6 1 1 1 2 13 12 -
Chris Andersen * 20 2-4 0-0 2-2 7 1 0 4 1 6 13 -
Anthony Carter * 17 2-5 0-1 1-2 3 4 1 0 3 5 5 -
Renaldo Balkman * 17 4-5 0-0 2-2 3 2 3 1 3 10 11 -
Dahntay Jones * 15 1-2 1-1 0-0 5 1 0 1 1 3 7 -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ramon Sessions * 43 7-17 0-0 13-15 4 8 3 0 3 27 22 -
Charlie Villanueva * 37 14-23 7-11 1-2 5 4 1 0 3 36 20 -
Richard Jefferson * 28 6-12 2-4 3-6 1 2 0 0 2 17 6 -
Charlie Bell * 28 3-8 1-4 6-6 5 2 1 0 0 13 13 -
Francisco Elson * 27 2-3 0-0 2-2 7 0 2 1 0 6 13 -
Luke Ridnour * 21 2-6 0-0 2-4 1 5 2 0 2 6 6 -
Joe Alexander * 15 3-8 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 1 2 8 2 -
Luc Mbah a Moute * 14 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 2 0 0 1 3 5 -
Dan Gadzuric * 7 1-2 0-0 0-2 1 1 0 1 0 2 3 -
Keith Bogans 9 0-2 0-1 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 2 4 -
Malik Allen 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -
Eddie Gill 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter