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Colorado State

Also known as: Colorado State Rams, Colorado State
Program History

2012 Team Stats (7 games)

64.0
PPG
69.0
Opp
-5.0
Margin
41.5%
FG%
35.1%
3P%
84.3%
FT%
34.9
RPG
10.4
APG
13.6
TO
-
Est. poss./game
70.7
Adj PPG
64.3
Adj Opp PPG
#82
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1223 (#58) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1198 (#51) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 1066 (#85) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +6.9 (#83) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +5.6 (#95) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.621 (#107) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +10.9 More โ†’ 0.778 (#80) AdjNet +10.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +10.9 More โ†’ 0.780 (#81) AdjNet +10.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 64.3 More โ†’ 0.642 (#82) AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 64.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.0 | AdjD 63.1 More โ†’ 0.587 (#97) AdjO 67.0 | AdjD 63.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.695 (#74) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.685 (#74) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 117 | GP 30 More โ†’ 1216 (#38) RD 117 | GP 30

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 vs Montana Grizzlies W 64 - 58
2011-11-14 vs SMU Mustangs W 75 - 56
2011-11-15 @ Stanford Cardinal L 52 - 64
2011-11-19 vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles L 58 - 79
2011-11-21 vs UTSA Roadrunners W 85 - 75
2011-11-22 vs Manhattan Jaspers W 91 - 86
2011-11-30 vs Colorado Buffaloes W 65 - 64
2011-12-03 @ Northern Iowa Panthers L 77 - 83
2011-12-07 @ Duke Blue Devils L 64 - 87
2011-12-19 vs Texas Southern Tigers W 85 - 61
2011-12-22 @ Northern Colorado Bears W 92 - 78
2011-12-28 @ UTEP Miners W 56 - 53
2011-12-29 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 79 - 56
2012-01-07 vs Omaha Mavericks W 87 - 63
2012-01-11 vs Denver Pioneers W 79 - 75
2012-01-14 vs TCU Horned Frogs W 95 - 89
2012-01-17 vs Boise State Broncos W 66 - 55
2012-01-25 @ New Mexico Lobos L 52 - 85
2012-01-28 vs San Diego State Aztecs W 77 - 60
2012-02-01 @ UNLV Rebels L 63 - 82
2012-02-04 vs Air Force Falcons W 67 - 49
2012-02-15 @ Boise State Broncos L 69 - 70
2012-02-18 vs Wyoming Cowboys W 54 - 46
2012-02-21 vs New Mexico Lobos W 71 - 63
2012-02-25 @ San Diego State Aztecs L 66 - 74
2012-02-29 vs UNLV Rebels W 66 - 59
2012-03-03 @ Air Force Falcons W 75 - 65
2012-03-08 vs TCU Horned Frogs W 81 - 60
2012-03-09 @ San Diego State Aztecs L 69 - 79
2012-03-15 @ Murray State Racers L 41 - 58

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Wes Eikmeier Wes Eikmeier G 30 32.8 15.6 1.9 2.1 0.8 0.0 2.0 5.7 12.8 32 27 1.2 1.6 36.5 32.1 93.5 -0.61 127.2 41.8
Dorian Green Dorian Green G 30 33.7 13.5 3.6 2.5 0.7 0.1 1.9 3.6 14.8 75 27 2.8 3.7 49.1 36.6 86.4 3.25 147.8 56.0
Greg Smith Greg Smith F 28 22.8 9.4 5.1 0.9 0.3 0.4 2.1 3.0 11.1 -42 25 -1.7 -3.4 50.0 66.7 81.2 -2.86 133.6 56.0
Pierce Hornung Pierce Hornung F 24 26.8 8.5 8.8 1.7 2.0 0.5 1.4 2.7 17.4 100 21 4.8 7.6 61.5 0.0 47.1 2.92 141.4 61.5
Will Bell Will Bell F 29 24.7 8.3 3.9 0.5 0.3 0.6 1.4 2.2 10.0 44 26 1.7 2.9 56.2 0 82.4 -0.52 153.2 56.2
Jesse Carr Jesse Carr G 30 26.2 7.3 3.5 2.7 0.7 0.1 1.7 1.8 10.7 92 27 3.4 6.1 41.8 35.3 65.5 3.14 161.6 47.3
Dwight Smith Dwight Smith G 28 16.1 5.3 2.0 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.9 0.9 7.2 28 26 1.1 3.1 32.0 28.6 85.7 -0.71 237.5 36.0
Kaipo Sabas Kaipo Sabas G 27 22.9 4.9 2.3 1.0 0.4 0.0 1.1 1.9 5.6 43 26 1.7 3.2 49.0 46.7 84.6 0.77 115.5 62.7
Chad Calcaterra Chad Calcaterra F 15 3.5 1.4 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.7 -13 12 -1.1 -13.1 71.4 0 62.5 -3.09 99.8 71.4
Trevor Williams Trevor Williams C 14 6.6 0.8 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 1.1 5 12 0.4 2.8 60.0 0 0 0.35 110.0 60.0
Cody Mann Cody Mann G 16 5.1 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.1 -9 13 -0.7 -5.3 28.6 0 100.0 -1.29 63.5 28.6

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG