Colorado State
2012 Team Stats (7 games)
64.0
PPG
69.0
Opp
-5.0
Margin
41.5%
FG%
35.1%
3P%
84.3%
FT%
34.9
RPG
10.4
APG
13.6
TO
-
Est. poss./game
70.7
Adj PPG
64.3
Adj Opp PPG
#82
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2011-2012
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1223 (#58) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1198 (#51) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1066 (#85) | HCA +101 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +6.9 (#83) | HCA +3.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +5.6 (#95) | HCA +3.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.621 (#107) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.778 (#80) | AdjNet +10.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.780 (#81) | AdjNet +10.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.642 (#82) | AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 64.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.587 (#97) | AdjO 67.0 | AdjD 63.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.695 (#74) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.685 (#74) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1216 (#38) | RD 117 | GP 30 |
2012 Schedule & Results
2012 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wes Eikmeier
|
G | 30 | 32.8 | 15.6 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.7 | 12.8 | 32 | 27 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 36.5 | 32.1 | 93.5 | -0.61 | 127.2 | 41.8 |
Dorian Green
|
G | 30 | 33.7 | 13.5 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 3.6 | 14.8 | 75 | 27 | 2.8 | 3.7 | 49.1 | 36.6 | 86.4 | 3.25 | 147.8 | 56.0 |
Greg Smith
|
F | 28 | 22.8 | 9.4 | 5.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 11.1 | -42 | 25 | -1.7 | -3.4 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 81.2 | -2.86 | 133.6 | 56.0 |
Pierce Hornung
|
F | 24 | 26.8 | 8.5 | 8.8 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 2.7 | 17.4 | 100 | 21 | 4.8 | 7.6 | 61.5 | 0.0 | 47.1 | 2.92 | 141.4 | 61.5 |
Will Bell
|
F | 29 | 24.7 | 8.3 | 3.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 10.0 | 44 | 26 | 1.7 | 2.9 | 56.2 | 0 | 82.4 | -0.52 | 153.2 | 56.2 |
Jesse Carr
|
G | 30 | 26.2 | 7.3 | 3.5 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 10.7 | 92 | 27 | 3.4 | 6.1 | 41.8 | 35.3 | 65.5 | 3.14 | 161.6 | 47.3 |
Dwight Smith
|
G | 28 | 16.1 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 7.2 | 28 | 26 | 1.1 | 3.1 | 32.0 | 28.6 | 85.7 | -0.71 | 237.5 | 36.0 |
Kaipo Sabas
|
G | 27 | 22.9 | 4.9 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 5.6 | 43 | 26 | 1.7 | 3.2 | 49.0 | 46.7 | 84.6 | 0.77 | 115.5 | 62.7 |
Chad Calcaterra
|
F | 15 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.7 | -13 | 12 | -1.1 | -13.1 | 71.4 | 0 | 62.5 | -3.09 | 99.8 | 71.4 |
Trevor Williams
|
C | 14 | 6.6 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 12 | 0.4 | 2.8 | 60.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.35 | 110.0 | 60.0 |
Cody Mann
|
G | 16 | 5.1 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.1 | -9 | 13 | -0.7 | -5.3 | 28.6 | 0 | 100.0 | -1.29 | 63.5 | 28.6 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG