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2011-11-14

Model Predictions

Model SMU Mustangs Colorado State Rams Spread Result
Elo 58.0% 42.0% -
Bradley-Terry 42.5% 57.5% -
Margin 41.8% 58.2% +1.8 (17.2 off)
Pythagorean 34.0% 66.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.9% 83.1% -
Log Adjusted 16.9% 83.1% -

Actual: Colorado State Rams +19 (75-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Samarrippas * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 11 13 -
L. Giles * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 3 0 2 10 16 -
J. Jones * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 4 16 16 -
A. Patsevich * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 7 8 -
R. Nyakundi * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 3 5 -
C. Cunningham 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 5 9 -
R. Manuel 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 4 8 -
R. Vilde 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
E. Norman 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Eikmeier * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 18 18 -
P. Hornung * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 2 1 6 16 -
D. Green * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 5 0 0 0 19 30 -
W. Bell * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 10 15 -
G. Smith * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 4 10 11 -
J. Carr 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 9 12 -
D. Smith 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 5 -
T. Williams 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
C. Mann 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
K. Sabas 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
C. Calcaterra 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter