Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Pioneers | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.4% | 72.6% | +5.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.5% | 65.5% | +3.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +4 (79-75). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Denver Pioneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett Olson * | 38 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Brian Stafford * | 36 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 10-10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Chase Hallam * | 32 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Chris Udofia * | 28 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Rob Lewis * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 7-12 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Royce O'Neale | 32 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Blake Foeman | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Travis Hallam | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Cam Griffin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Justin Coughlin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wes Eikmeier * | 39 | 6-16 | 0-2 | 10-10 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 7 | - |
| Greg Smith * | 32 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Dorian Green * | 32 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Kaipo Sabas * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Will Bell * | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Jesse Carr | 32 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Pierce Hornung | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Chad Calcaterra | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter