Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.3% | 67.7% | +4.1 | ✓ (28.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +33 (85-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Bell * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| D. Green * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 11 | - |
| P. Hornung * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 20 | - |
| G. Smith * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| D. Smith * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| W. Eikmeier | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| J. Carr | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. Sabas | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Mann | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| C. Calcaterra | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Gordon * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 33 | - |
| K. Williams * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | - |
| T. Snell * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| H. Greenwood * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| A.J. Hardeman * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Walker | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| J. Fenton | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 19 | - |
| C. Adams | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| C. Bairstow | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| P. McDonald | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| D. Dunning | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Perez | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter