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Montana Grizzlies 58
@
Colorado State Rams 64
2011-11-11

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies Colorado State Rams Spread Result
Elo 17.2% 82.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 31.8% 68.2% - ✓
Margin 12.8% 87.2% +10.5 ✓ (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 52.3% 47.7% - ✗
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 13.9% 86.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 12.5% 87.5% - ✓

Actual: Colorado State Rams +6 (64-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Cherry 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 11 12 -
K. Jamar 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 0 0 12 21 -
S. Stockton 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 5 4 -
E. Hutchison 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 3 4 8 -
E. Hutchison 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 3 4 8 -
M. Weisner 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 5 9 -
M. Ward 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 8 12 -
A. Steward 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 11 15 -
J. Wood 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
B. Reader 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
J. Gregory 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Henderson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Hornung 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 0 2 1 1 10 24 -
D. Green 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 5 0 1 -
J. Carr 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 1 12 18 -
W. Eikmeier 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 21 25 -
G. Smith 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 1 14 21 -
W. Bell 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 5 6 -
D. Smith 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 2 5 -
T. Williams 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter