Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.8% | 23.2% | -9.0 | ✗ (10.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.4% | 45.6% | -1.0 | ✗ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos +1 (70-69). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Green * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Wes Eikmeier * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 31 | - |
| Pierce Hornung * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | - |
| Greg Smith * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 18 | - |
| Will Bell * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Jesse Carr | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Kaipo Sabas | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Dwight Smith | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Drmic * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Kenny Buckner * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Joe Hanstad * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Tre Nichols * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Derrick Marks * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Jeff Elorriaga | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Drew Wiley | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Igor Hadziomerovic | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Westly Perryman | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Watkins | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Thomas Bropleh | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter