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2012-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Colorado State Rams Boise State Broncos Spread Result
Elo 35.9% 64.1% -
Bradley-Terry 38.1% 61.9% -
Margin 34.1% 65.9% +3.6 (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 47.4% 52.6% -
Efficiency 33.6% 66.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.9% 32.1% -
Log Adjusted 67.6% 32.4% -

Actual: Boise State Broncos +1 (70-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Green * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 7 6 -
W. Eikmeier * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 30 31 -
P. Hornung * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 1 1 0 3 2 12 -
G. Smith * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 0 2 2 7 18 -
W. Bell * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 3 10 -
J. Carr 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 15 20 -
K. Sabas 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 6 -
D. Smith 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Drmic * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 2 1 0 10 19 -
K. Buckner * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 2 20 24 -
J. Hanstad * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 7 11 -
T. Nichols * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 6 0 0 2 6 12 -
D. Marks * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 7 10 -
J. Elorriaga 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 6 10 -
D. Wiley 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 8 12 -
I. Hadziomerovic 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
W. Perryman 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 -
R. Watkins 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 1 3 -
T. Bropleh 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter