Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.7% | 91.3% | +15.1 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.8% | 79.2% | +7.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +11 (66-55). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Westly Perryman * | 38 | 6-15 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Jeff Elorriaga * | 37 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Drmic * | 29 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Ryan Watkins * | 28 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Jarrell Crayton * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Joe Hanstad | 20 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Derrick Marks | 12 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Drew Wiley | 12 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Thomas Bropleh | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Tre Nichols | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Green * | 36 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 6-7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Wes Eikmeier * | 32 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Kaipo Sabas * | 30 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Greg Smith * | 24 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Will Bell * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Pierce Hornung | 28 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | - |
| Jesse Carr | 23 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Dwight Smith | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter