Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.1% | 44.9% | -1.1 | ✗ (18.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +17 (77-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Franklin * | 37 | 8-18 | 2-7 | 6-7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | - |
| C. Tapley * | 36 | 3-17 | 0-6 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -3 | - |
| X. Thames * | 34 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| J. Rahon * | 33 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | - |
| T. Shelton * | 23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| D. Stephens | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| L. Franklin | 12 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| G. Green | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Williams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Green * | 36 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 6 | - |
| W. Eikmeier * | 34 | 5-15 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 5 | - |
| W. Bell * | 33 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| P. Hornung * | 29 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 14 | - |
| G. Smith * | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| K. Sabas | 25 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| J. Carr | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Smith | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| C. Mann | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Calcaterra | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter