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2012-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Omaha Mavericks Colorado State Rams Spread Result
Elo 9.3% 90.7% -
Bradley-Terry 17.1% 82.9% -
Margin 2.6% 97.4% +19.8 (4.2 off)

Actual: Colorado State Rams +24 (87-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Omaha Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Albers * 30 5-14 2-4 3-4 4 2 0 0 2 15 5 -
J. Karhoff * 29 5-9 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 0 1 10 7 -
C. Steffensmeier * 27 0-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
A. Welhouse * 25 4-11 0-3 2-3 8 2 1 0 3 10 7 -
C. Carter * 21 2-8 1-2 2-3 1 1 0 0 1 7 0 -
J. Coleman 20 4-6 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 5 8 3 -
Isiah Gandy 17 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 3 -4 -
M. Hagerbaumer 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
J. Ring 8 0-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 1 0 -
M. Farr 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Egli 2 3-4 3-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 9 5 -
B. Freeman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Green * 27 6-7 2-3 7-7 3 3 0 0 1 21 19 -
D. Smith * 23 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 1 1 1 0 3 6 -
W. Eikmeier * 23 2-10 1-4 0-0 2 5 1 0 3 5 0 -
K. Sabas * 22 3-5 2-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 8 6 -
W. Bell * 19 4-6 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 3 2 9 8 -
J. Carr 27 3-6 0-1 0-1 0 7 0 0 2 6 5 -
G. Smith 18 5-5 1-1 3-4 2 2 0 0 3 14 10 -
P. Hornung 16 2-2 0-0 1-2 7 2 1 0 0 5 13 -
C. Calcaterra 16 5-6 0-0 4-4 5 1 1 0 1 14 14 -
C. Mann 9 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 2 4 -

* = starter