Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.4% | 74.6% | +6.5 | ✓ (10.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.8% | 75.2% | +6.1 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +17 (58-41). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Green * | 35 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -6 | - |
| Wes Eikmeier * | 35 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Pierce Hornung * | 31 | 6-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Kaipo Sabas * | 26 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Will Bell * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jesse Carr | 29 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Greg Smith | 11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Dwight Smith | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Cody Mann | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chad Calcaterra | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Canaan * | 36 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 6-8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Donte Poole * | 32 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Edward Daniel * | 31 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Ivan Aska * | 31 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Jewuan Long * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Zay Jackson | 20 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Latreze Mushatt | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Stacy Wilson | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter