Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.0% | 79.0% | +7.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +10 (79-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Hornung * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| D. Green * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 26 | - |
| W. Eikmeier * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| W. Bell * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - |
| K. Sabas * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Carr | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 22 | - |
| D. Smith | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| X. Thames * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 14 | - |
| C. Tapley * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 28 | - |
| J. Rahon * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 19 | - |
| J. Franklin * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 27 | - |
| T. Shelton * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| G. Green | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| D. Stephens | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 18 | - |
| L. Franklin | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
* = starter