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New Mexico Lobos 63
@
Colorado State Rams 71
2012-02-21

Model Predictions

Model New Mexico Lobos Colorado State Rams Spread Result
Elo 69.2% 30.8% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 42.0% 58.0% - ✓
Margin 40.6% 59.4% +2.1 ✓ (5.9 off)
Pythagorean 56.3% 43.7% - ✗
Efficiency 63.9% 36.1% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 73.6% 26.4% - ✗
Log Adjusted 74.3% 25.7% - ✗

Actual: Colorado State Rams +8 (71-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Mexico Lobos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Williams * 36 3-13 1-5 9-10 3 1 1 0 3 16 5 -
D. Gordon * 33 6-10 0-0 1-1 6 3 0 1 6 13 7 -
T. Snell * 21 1-4 0-2 0-0 4 2 1 1 2 2 4 -
H. Greenwood * 19 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
A.J. Hardeman * 10 3-5 0-0 0-4 5 0 1 0 1 6 6 -
D. Walker 25 5-11 2-5 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 14 6 -
J. Fenton 21 1-6 1-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 3 0 -
P. McDonald 15 1-4 1-4 1-1 0 1 2 0 1 4 2 -
C. Bairstow 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 1 0 0 6 -
C. Adams 8 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 5 4 -

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Green * 35 4-10 1-2 8-8 2 4 0 0 3 17 10 -
W. Eikmeier * 33 4-11 2-4 1-1 2 0 0 0 1 11 1 -
K. Sabas * 32 2-4 1-2 2-2 3 3 3 0 2 7 10 -
P. Hornung * 31 5-9 0-0 3-6 15 0 4 0 3 13 20 -
D. Smith * 18 3-7 0-1 2-2 0 1 0 0 2 8 0 -
J. Carr 33 3-4 1-1 2-2 2 5 2 0 1 9 13 -
G. Smith 17 2-7 0-1 2-2 7 0 0 0 1 6 5 -
C. Calcaterra 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter