Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.8% | 85.2% | +9.6 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +19 (82-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Green * | 38 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Will Bell * | 32 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Pierce Hornung * | 31 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Wes Eikmeier * | 31 | 8-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Greg Smith * | 26 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Dwight Smith | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jesse Carr | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Kaipo Sabas | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cody Mann | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Trevor Williams | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chace Stanback * | 33 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Anthony Marshall * | 33 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Oscar Bellfield * | 33 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Mike Moser * | 30 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Brice Massamba * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Justin Hawkins | 17 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Quintrell Thomas | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Reggie Smith | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Barry Cheaney | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Wade Norman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter