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UNLV Rebels 59
@
Colorado State Rams 66
2012-02-29

Model Predictions

Model UNLV Rebels Colorado State Rams Spread Result
Elo 29.4% 70.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 41.2% 58.8% - ✓
Margin 36.7% 63.3% +3.0 ✓ (4.0 off)
Pythagorean 50.7% 49.3% - ✗
Efficiency 90.5% 9.5% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 68.6% 31.4% - ✗
Log Adjusted 68.7% 31.3% - ✗

Actual: Colorado State Rams +7 (66-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Bellfield * 38 6-11 5-8 0-0 4 5 0 0 1 17 14 -
A. Marshall * 32 5-9 0-1 1-1 6 3 1 2 4 11 10 -
M. Moser * 26 1-10 1-4 2-2 2 1 1 1 2 5 -2 -
J. Hawkins * 23 2-6 0-3 0-0 2 2 3 0 0 4 5 -
B. Massamba * 20 2-3 0-0 1-4 1 1 0 0 1 5 3 -
C. Stanback 30 4-12 1-4 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 9 4 -
Q. Thomas 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 0 2 -
K. Wallace 11 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
C. Lopez-Sosa 6 1-2 0-0 3-4 1 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
R. Smith 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Green * 37 6-11 0-4 4-4 1 3 0 1 2 16 8 -
W. Eikmeier * 35 5-15 1-7 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 11 1 -
W. Bell * 27 2-4 0-0 5-6 3 1 0 1 2 9 8 -
K. Sabas * 21 1-1 1-1 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 3 7 -
D. Smith * 14 1-3 0-1 4-4 0 0 1 1 0 6 5 -
J. Carr 27 2-6 1-2 1-2 6 1 0 0 3 6 4 -
P. Hornung 21 3-7 0-1 0-0 8 0 4 2 0 6 13 -
G. Smith 18 3-6 1-2 2-2 6 1 0 0 1 9 9 -

* = starter