Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.7% | 53.3% | +0.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.3% | 35.7% | -3.2 | ✗ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +7 (66-59). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar Bellfield * | 38 | 6-11 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Anthony Marshall * | 32 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Mike Moser * | 26 | 1-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Justin Hawkins * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Brice Massamba * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Chace Stanback | 30 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Quintrell Thomas | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kendall Wallace | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Carlos Lopez-Sosa | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Reggie Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Green * | 37 | 6-11 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Wes Eikmeier * | 35 | 5-15 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Will Bell * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Kaipo Sabas * | 21 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Dwight Smith * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jesse Carr | 27 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Pierce Hornung | 21 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Greg Smith | 18 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
* = starter