Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.4% | 32.6% | -5.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.7% | 36.3% | -3.1 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -10 (65-75). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Green * | 37 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 4-7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Kaipo Sabas * | 30 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Wes Eikmeier * | 28 | 6-13 | 5-8 | 6-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Will Bell * | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Pierce Hornung * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jesse Carr | 33 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Greg Smith | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Dwight Smith | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Fitzgerald * | 36 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Taylor Broekhuis * | 33 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Michael Lyons * | 32 | 6-14 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Shawn Hempsey * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Scott Stucky * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Todd Fletcher | 33 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Kyle Green | 25 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Justin Hammonds | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Max Yon | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Marek Olesinski | 7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Kamryn Williams | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter