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Boise State

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Boise State Broncos, Boise State
Program History
Coach: Leon Rice

2026 Team Stats (30 games)

78.0
PPG
74.0
Opp
+4.0
Margin
45.4%
FG%
33.7%
3P%
78.2%
FT%
35.7
RPG
12.9
APG
11.9
TO
78.7
Pace
80.8
AdjO
69.4
AdjD
#61
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1184 (#50) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1160 (#68) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1053 (#102) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +11.2 (#60) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +23.7 (#62) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.655 (#83) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +24.7 More → 0.926 (#37) NetEff +24.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +15.3 More → 0.853 (#56) AdjNet +15.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +15.4 More → 0.855 (#57) AdjNet +15.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 80.8 | AdjD 69.4 More → 0.738 (#61) AdjO 80.8 | AdjD 69.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 70.5 More → 0.650 (#68) AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 70.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.875 (#68) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.848 (#63) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 136 | GP 30 More → 1163 (#83) RD 136 | GP 30

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Hawai'i Pacific Sea Warriors L 78 - 79
2025-11-08 vs Utah Valley Wolverines W 101 - 77
2025-11-11 vs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros W 85 - 65
2025-11-15 vs Montana State Bobcats W 62 - 58
2025-11-18 vs Wichita State Shockers W 62 - 59
2025-11-24 vs USC Trojans L 67 - 70
2025-11-25 vs NC State Wolfpack L 70 - 81
2025-11-26 @ Chaminade Silverswords W 102 - 76
2025-12-14 vs Saint Mary's Gaels W 68 - 67
2025-12-20 @ Nevada Wolf Pack L 66 - 81
2025-12-30 vs New Mexico Lobos W 62 - 53
2026-01-03 @ San Diego State Aztecs L 107 - 110
2026-01-07 vs Grand Canyon Lopes L 58 - 75
2026-01-10 vs Utah State Aggies L 68 - 93
2026-01-13 @ UNLV Rebels L 85 - 89
2026-01-16 vs Colorado State Rams W 79 - 73
2026-01-20 @ Wyoming Cowboys W 81 - 65
2026-01-24 vs Air Force Falcons W 96 - 54
2026-01-27 @ San José State Spartans W 89 - 58
2026-01-30 @ Grand Canyon Lopes L 69 - 86
2026-02-03 vs Nevada Wolf Pack W 91 - 87
2026-02-07 @ New Mexico Lobos W 91 - 90
2026-02-13 vs UNLV Rebels L 83 - 86
2026-02-18 @ Utah State Aggies L 56 - 75
2026-02-21 vs San José State Spartans W 84 - 69
2026-02-24 vs Wyoming Cowboys W 72 - 62
2026-02-28 @ Fresno State Bulldogs W 69 - 53
2026-03-03 vs San Diego State Aztecs W 86 - 77
2026-03-07 @ Colorado State Rams W 78 - 67
2026-03-11 vs San José State Spartans L 74 - 84

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D. Fielder D. Fielder - 30 23.9 14.4 5.8 1.3 0.4 0.5 1.7 9.5 11.1 -2 -0.1 -0.2 54.0 39.8 78.1 0.13 64.4 60.2
J. Buchanan J. Buchanan - 29 27.9 12.7 5.0 1.5 0.6 0.2 1.1 9.0 9.9 15 0.7 1.3 42.1 30.9 83.6 0.84 56.9 47.9
D. Andrews D. Andrews - 30 29.2 12.6 2.4 3.1 0.6 0.1 2.1 9.1 7.5 -8 -0.4 -0.6 40.3 32.1 89.1 -0.13 57.5 48.5
A. Meadow A. Meadow - 30 30.4 12.3 3.7 1.0 0.6 0.0 0.9 8.3 8.4 31 1.3 3.3 51.2 37.6 64.0 0.4 61.6 59.4
P. Carmichael P. Carmichael - 29 19.1 7.2 3.1 0.8 0.2 0.1 1.0 6.0 4.4 66 3.0 9.1 38.3 26.9 82.1 1.11 52.3 46.6
D. Parolin D. Parolin - 30 16.8 5.5 4.5 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.8 3.6 7.4 76 3.5 9.6 50.5 29.2 80.0 0.89 60.9 53.7
Spencer Ahrens Spencer Ahrens - 30 13.1 5.0 2.4 0.7 0.3 0.4 1.0 4.0 3.8 43 2.0 6.4 45.0 36.1 70.0 0.13 56.7 54.2
Aginaldo Neto Aginaldo Neto - 30 19.6 4.4 1.3 1.9 0.4 0.1 1.6 3.6 2.9 83 3.8 9.0 37.4 34.1 72.5 1.22 51.0 44.4
B. Ramirez B. Ramirez - 1 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -3 -1.5 -40.4 100.0 100.0 0 -0.06 150.0 150.0
RJ Keene RJ Keene - 29 22.1 2.8 4.4 1.8 0.7 0.4 0.6 2.6 6.9 30 1.4 3.2 39.5 35.8 50.0 0.46 52.1 52.0
E. Lathan E. Lathan - 4 2.5 2.0 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.2 2.2 5 1.0 22.3 60.0 0 100.0 0.07 68.0 60.0
Bhan Buom Bhan Buom - 21 4.2 1.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.3 31 2.2 22.1 60.0 40.0 58.3 0.34 69.2 70.0
J. Bowie J. Bowie - 8 5.9 1.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 1.1 -0.2 -2 -0.2 -3.3 33.3 33.3 0 0.04 44.4 44.4
R. Bergersen R. Bergersen - 5 2.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 7 1.2 29.9 0 0 0 0.05 0 0
Noah Bendinger Noah Bendinger G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG