Model Predictions
| Model | Grand Canyon Lopes | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.3% | 62.7% | +2.8 | ✗ (19.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos -17 (58-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Grand Canyon Lopes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Owusu-Anane | 38 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 15 | +21.0 |
| J. Henley | 33 | 9-15 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 16 | +28.8 |
| E. Demirel | 28 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | +23.1 |
| C. Shaw | 26 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | +27.3 |
| M. Williams | 24 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 9 | +4.1 |
| B. Moore Jr. | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +15.4 |
| D. Stromer | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -9.6 |
| W. Breidenbach | 12 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -1.3 |
| K. Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.9 |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Neto | 33 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | -15.0 |
| J. Buchanan | 33 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 7-10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | -12.8 |
| A. Meadow | 33 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | -2.0 |
| P. Carmichael | 24 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | -8.2 |
| D. Andrews | 21 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -28.2 |
| D. Fielder | 20 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 6 | +5.8 |
| D. Parolin | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -27.4 |
| S. Ahrens | 9 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | -8.8 |
| RJ Keene | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -10.8 |
| E. Lathan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| B. Buom | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.1 |
* = starter