Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.2% | 52.8% | +0.6 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos +9 (86-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Dixon-Waters | 30 | 8-14 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 10 | - |
| E. Harrington | 24 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| M. Byrd | 23 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| T. Simmons | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| M. Heide | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| T. DeGourville | 19 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| BJ Davis | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| S. Newman Jr. | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Gwath | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Oden | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Compton | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Andrews | 34 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 6-9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 5 | - |
| J. Buchanan | 32 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| A. Meadow | 30 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| RJ Keene | 30 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 15 | - |
| D. Fielder | 26 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 16-18 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 31 | - |
| A. Neto | 18 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| D. Parolin | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| S. Ahrens | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| P. Carmichael | 7 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| B. Buom | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter