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2025-11-11

Model Predictions

Model UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros Boise State Broncos Spread Result
Elo 35.6% 64.4% -
Bradley-Terry 21.8% 78.2% -
Margin 11.5% 88.5% +11.2 (8.8 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 8.8% 91.2% -
Log Adjusted 8.6% 91.4% -
Points Off/Def 23.3% 76.7% -

Actual: Boise State Broncos +20 (85-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Christensen * 30 1-6 0-2 1-4 4 0 1 0 2 3 0 -17.3
M. McGhee III * 25 3-7 1-3 2-2 1 0 2 0 1 9 4 -9.9
K. Cotton * 23 5-10 1-2 1-3 3 0 1 0 1 12 5 -7.8
A. Wright * 22 4-7 0-0 0-1 2 1 1 0 3 8 2 -1.0
F. Brankovic * 20 3-5 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 7 2 +1.3
Z. Blake 20 1-6 0-3 0-0 1 4 0 0 2 2 -1 -5.3
J. Washington 14 3-4 1-1 2-2 0 1 3 0 1 9 8 -13.3
J. Gomez 14 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 4 -11.9
M. Destremau 11 1-2 0-0 3-5 3 0 0 0 1 5 5 -8.4
K. Dickson 11 2-4 0-1 0-2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -2 -10.7
K. Agwa 5 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 1 0 3 5 -3.6
D. Winters 5 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -2.4

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Meadow * 34 8-12 2-4 3-5 5 3 0 0 2 21 15 +9.9
J. Buchanan * 33 5-13 3-5 2-3 7 3 2 0 1 15 13 +15.2
D. Andrews * 29 4-12 2-6 2-2 3 4 0 0 3 12 4 +7.7
RJ Keene * 29 1-3 0-0 0-0 10 4 0 0 0 2 13 +9.8
D. Fielder * 12 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 0 -5 -6.5
S. Ahrens 20 3-6 1-3 4-7 6 1 0 0 1 11 11 +18.9
A. Neto 15 2-3 1-1 1-3 0 2 0 0 6 6 -1 +16.5
D. Parolin 14 2-2 0-0 5-7 5 0 1 0 1 9 12 +8.2
P. Carmichael 10 3-3 1-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 9 6 +8.6
J. Bowie 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.8

* = starter