Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.8% | 36.2% | -3.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos -11 (70-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Lubin * | 33 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - |
| T. Holloman * | 32 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | +6.6 |
| Dar. Williams * | 30 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | +12.6 |
| Q. Copeland * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 6 | +4.8 |
| P. McNeil * | 20 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +9.0 |
| T. Arceneaux | 23 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 16 | +1.8 |
| M. Able | 21 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | -6.0 |
| A. Breed | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -2.2 |
| M. Sagnia | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +5.8 |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Buchanan * | 31 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 6-7 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +4.4 |
| A. Meadow * | 29 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -9.6 |
| D. Andrews * | 29 | 8-18 | 5-11 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 12 | -0.6 |
| D. Fielder * | 26 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -3.6 |
| RJ Keene * | 26 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -3.5 |
| P. Carmichael | 21 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | -4.8 |
| A. Neto | 20 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2.3 |
| D. Parolin | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +0.3 |
| J. Bowie | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| S. Ahrens | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -9.9 |
| B. Buom | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter