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2026-01-13

Model Predictions

Model Boise State Broncos UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 57.5% 42.5% -
Bradley-Terry 49.2% 50.8% -
Margin 66.1% 33.9% -3.7 (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 54.9% 45.1% -
Efficiency 78.8% 21.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 74.2% 25.8% -
Log Adjusted 74.4% 25.6% -
Points Off/Def 57.2% 42.8% -

Actual: UNLV Rebels +4 (89-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Meadow 38 8-12 0-2 5-8 6 1 2 0 1 21 17 -6.6
D. Fielder 38 8-17 1-4 6-8 4 1 1 0 3 23 9 +1.7
D. Parolin 33 4-7 0-1 0-1 7 1 2 0 2 8 9 +0.8
D. Andrews 30 4-8 0-1 6-6 2 4 1 0 0 14 13 +6.8
A. Neto 26 0-4 0-1 0-0 2 3 1 1 3 0 0 -7.3
RJ Keene 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 5 1 0 2 0 8 -0.6
S. Ahrens 19 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 5 3 -14.1
P. Carmichael 18 4-9 1-3 5-6 4 0 1 1 2 14 9 -9.1
B. Buom 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Gibbs-Lawhorn 45 11-23 2-8 9-12 5 6 1 0 5 33 17 +5.1
K. Hamilton 35 5-9 1-3 5-6 5 2 1 0 1 16 14 +5.6
H. Fleming Jr. 35 6-13 3-6 2-2 4 4 1 0 2 17 11 +3.5
T. Jones 33 2-7 0-0 2-3 4 2 4 3 0 6 12 +6.6
E. Stephen 26 3-5 0-0 0-1 6 0 0 1 0 6 8 -2.8
I. Williamson 22 4-6 1-3 0-0 4 0 1 0 4 9 4 -0.3
J. Bannarbie 18 0-3 0-1 2-4 8 2 0 1 0 2 10 +5.1
A. Green 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.6
W. Brown 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 +4.1

* = starter