Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.4% | 53.6% | +0.8 | ✓ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +15 (81-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Meadow | 29 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 4-9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | -0.0 |
| D. Parolin | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 11-14 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 21 | +4.6 |
| J. Buchanan | 25 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -11.3 |
| A. Neto | 22 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -0.9 |
| RJ Keene | 21 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| D. Andrews | 21 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | -16.2 |
| S. Ahrens | 16 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | +0.2 |
| P. Carmichael | 16 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | -9.3 |
| D. Fielder | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -9.9 |
| B. Buom | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +3.0 |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Price | 34 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 14 | +6.1 |
| T. Comer | 27 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 13-14 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 19 | +6.6 |
| V. Weems | 25 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +9.9 |
| C. Bailey III | 24 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | +7.5 |
| K. Lowery | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +6.4 |
| T. Rolison | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +0.1 |
| P. White | 18 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | +6.5 |
| M. Walker | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -1.1 |
| A. Robinson | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -2.4 |
| J. Coleman | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +4.6 |
| E. Croley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.9 |
* = starter