Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Fresno State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.0% | 25.0% | -6.0 | ✓ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.6% | 3.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs -16 (53-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Meadow | 34 | 5-15 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | +20.4 |
| J. Buchanan | 34 | 11-18 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 18 | +15.4 |
| D. Andrews | 31 | 3-12 | 1-8 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +22.5 |
| RJ Keene | 30 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +12.9 |
| D. Fielder | 25 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +11.4 |
| A. Neto | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.6 |
| D. Parolin | 15 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | +5.1 |
| S. Ahrens | 10 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -2.9 |
| B. Buom | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +1.0 |
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Gory | 39 | 9-20 | 0-3 | 2-5 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 12 | -16.8 |
| J. Heidbreder | 37 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | -19.1 |
| B. Rieber | 34 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -14.4 |
| W. Jacques | 32 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 6 | -15.8 |
| C. Faas | 20 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +0.1 |
| J. Mani | 17 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | -0.7 |
| G. Kocevar | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -11.2 |
| A. Soqui Urbano | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| M. Porto | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
* = starter