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Fresno State

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Fresno State Bulldogs, Fresno State
Program History
Coach: Vance Walberg

2026 Team Stats (30 games)

72.7
PPG
72.7
Opp
+0.0
Margin
44.4%
FG%
31.9%
3P%
74.5%
FT%
34.8
RPG
12.7
APG
12.9
TO
78.6
Pace
74.2
AdjO
70.9
AdjD
#124
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 875 (#273) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 966 (#214) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 922 (#644) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +3.0 (#127) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +16.8 (#119) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.454 (#209) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -11.4 More → 0.211 (#275) NetEff -11.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.0 More → 0.613 (#129) AdjNet +4.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.0 More → 0.615 (#129) AdjNet +4.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.2 | AdjD 70.9 More → 0.574 (#124) AdjO 74.2 | AdjD 70.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.3 | AdjD 71.1 More → 0.528 (#203) AdjO 72.3 | AdjD 71.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.730 (#199) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.684 (#205) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 138 | GP 30 More → 973 (#260) RD 138 | GP 30

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Fresno Pacific Sunbirds W 88 - 51
2025-11-05 vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans L 66 - 67
2025-11-08 vs Long Beach State Beach W 82 - 62
2025-11-12 vs UC San Diego Tritons L 73 - 78
2025-11-15 vs Utah Valley Wolverines W 75 - 74
2025-11-18 vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks W 80 - 78
2025-11-21 vs New Orleans Privateers W 85 - 76
2025-11-26 vs Pepperdine Waves W 76 - 53
2025-11-30 vs Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners L 71 - 76
2025-12-06 @ Arkansas Razorbacks L 58 - 82
2025-12-20 @ UNLV Rebels L 72 - 84
2025-12-30 vs Utah State Aggies L 63 - 72
2026-01-03 vs Nevada Wolf Pack L 65 - 66
2026-01-06 @ San José State Spartans W 70 - 55
2026-01-10 @ San Diego State Aztecs L 52 - 71
2026-01-13 vs Colorado State Rams W 79 - 69
2026-01-21 @ New Mexico Lobos L 74 - 83
2026-01-24 vs Grand Canyon Lopes L 57 - 68
2026-01-31 @ Air Force Falcons W 79 - 62
2026-02-03 vs UNLV Rebels W 98 - 96
2026-02-07 @ Nevada Wolf Pack L 59 - 69
2026-02-10 @ Utah State Aggies L 78 - 91
2026-02-14 vs Air Force Falcons W 93 - 63
2026-02-17 @ Wyoming Cowboys L 82 - 92
2026-02-21 vs New Mexico Lobos L 78 - 80
2026-02-24 @ Colorado State Rams L 70 - 74
2026-02-28 vs Boise State Broncos L 53 - 69
2026-03-03 vs San José State Spartans W 82 - 68
2026-03-07 @ Grand Canyon Lopes L 60 - 85
2026-03-11 @ Colorado State Rams L 63 - 67

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Heidbreder J. Heidbreder G 28 36.9 17.3 2.7 2.2 1.4 0.1 2.1 12.8 8.9 76 3.6 4.3 41.5 32.5 90.4 0.32 58.1 50.7
Deshawn Gory Deshawn Gory - 30 29.4 13.6 6.3 1.9 0.8 0.3 1.5 11.4 10.0 1 0.0 0.1 48.0 25.5 64.6 -0.28 53.8 51.8
Z. Collins Z. Collins G 24 30.5 11.2 3.6 4.8 1.9 0.0 2.9 9.2 9.3 119 5.7 10.3 45.5 28.6 72.6 0.19 52.9 48.6
Wilson Jacques Wilson Jacques - 30 27.4 9.0 8.7 1.0 0.8 0.7 1.6 7.1 11.5 76 3.6 6.1 48.1 30.8 73.8 0.85 54.0 49.1
D. Douglas Jr. D. Douglas Jr. G 17 17.0 6.9 1.5 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.6 4.9 3.5 -43 -3.1 -11.8 43.4 40.9 69.2 1.14 61.9 59.6
J. Mani J. Mani - 24 11.8 6.2 2.7 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.8 4.6 4.4 24 1.3 4.9 45.9 31.9 67.3 0.3 56.6 52.7
C. Faas C. Faas - 30 19.0 5.1 2.4 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.5 4.6 3.3 52 2.3 5.6 38.8 35.8 87.5 0.31 54.0 52.9
Bastien Rieber Bastien Rieber - 30 17.1 4.3 1.2 1.6 0.3 0.0 1.2 3.0 3.2 23 1.1 4.2 40.4 36.4 74.5 0.19 57.0 49.4
Gasper Kocevar Gasper Kocevar - 26 13.4 3.3 2.2 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.7 2.0 4.3 39 2.4 8.7 61.5 44.4 54.3 0.22 64.5 65.4
Dj Stickman Dj Stickman - 19 14.1 3.2 2.6 1.2 0.9 0.2 1.3 2.1 4.7 28 1.5 4.3 51.3 44.4 76.2 0.18 62.2 56.4
Aram Soqui Urbano Aram Soqui Urbano - 14 8.9 2.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 2.1 0.5 -4 -1.0 -10.8 31.0 27.3 66.7 -0.05 44.2 41.4
M. Diouf M. Diouf - 17 4.9 1.1 1.4 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.4 1.1 -29 -2.2 -22.0 26.1 9.1 85.7 -0.68 36.4 28.3
Matteo Porto Matteo Porto - 14 3.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.1 -0.4 -17 -2.1 -42.4 13.3 0.0 57.1 -0.32 22.1 13.3
T. Jenkins T. Jenkins - 2 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -0.5 -11 -5.5 -71.2 0.0 0.0 0 -0.17 0.0 0.0
Nathan Zulemie Nathan Zulemie G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG