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2026-03-03

Model Predictions

Model San José State Spartans Fresno State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 36.8% 63.2% -
Bradley-Terry 24.2% 75.8% -
Margin 19.9% 80.1% +7.7 (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 29.2% 70.8% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.2% 77.8% -
Log Adjusted 22.1% 77.9% -
Points Off/Def 31.8% 68.2% -

Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs +14 (82-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San José State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Garland 40 10-18 2-4 4-8 3 3 0 0 2 26 12 -
A. Myers 40 7-18 0-6 3-5 16 1 1 0 0 17 17 -
M. Bell Jr. 36 4-7 1-2 1-3 4 0 1 0 1 10 7 -
J. Washington 33 2-9 1-5 0-1 3 0 0 0 0 5 -1 -
S. NgaNga 23 0-5 0-3 1-2 4 1 0 0 1 1 0 -
M. Overstreet 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 8 1 2 1 1 4 12 -
J. Moupadele 9 2-5 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 5 4 -
D. Langford 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Fresno State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Heidbreder 40 5-15 3-10 7-7 3 1 0 0 1 20 8 -
D. Gory 36 6-13 0-2 2-2 7 4 0 1 2 14 11 -
W. Jacques 33 4-13 2-2 6-8 19 0 0 3 2 16 23 -
C. Faas 32 4-7 3-5 1-2 6 0 2 1 0 12 14 -
B. Rieber 30 2-7 1-2 0-0 2 6 0 0 0 5 6 -
J. Mani 14 4-6 2-2 3-5 4 0 0 0 0 13 11 -
A. Soqui Urbano 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
M. Porto 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
M. Diouf 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter