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2026-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Fresno State Bulldogs Colorado State Rams Spread Result
Elo 16.1% 83.9% -
Bradley-Terry 27.5% 72.5% -
Margin 21.9% 78.1% +7.0 (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 39.1% 60.9% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.5% 74.5% -
Log Adjusted 25.6% 74.4% -
Points Off/Def 33.3% 66.7% -

Actual: Colorado State Rams +4 (74-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Fresno State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Heidbreder 36 3-10 1-5 4-5 7 0 2 1 2 11 9 -
D. Gory 35 10-16 2-6 1-2 7 4 0 0 2 23 16 -
W. Jacques 29 3-10 1-1 0-0 8 0 0 0 0 7 5 -
B. Rieber 23 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 2 0 -
C. Faas 18 2-3 2-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 4 -
Z. Collins 17 2-4 0-1 2-2 2 4 2 0 1 6 9 -
J. Mani 16 3-6 1-2 1-2 2 2 1 0 1 8 6 -
G. Kocevar 16 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
A. Soqui Urbano 10 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Muniz 35 5-8 1-2 4-6 2 5 2 0 3 15 13 -
B. Rechsteiner 30 6-11 4-7 0-0 2 2 2 0 3 16 8 -
C. Booth 30 3-7 1-4 4-4 9 1 0 2 1 11 15 -
J. Butler 29 3-10 1-5 4-5 5 4 1 0 0 11 11 -
K. Jorgensen 25 4-7 2-5 1-2 4 2 1 1 2 11 10 -
R. Mbemba 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
D. Slater 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
J. McIver 12 2-5 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 0 -
A. Kiudulas 10 1-4 0-2 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 2 4 -

* = starter