Model Predictions
| Model | Fresno State Bulldogs | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.9% | 78.1% | +7.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +4 (74-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Heidbreder | 36 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| D. Gory | 35 | 10-16 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 16 | - |
| W. Jacques | 29 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| B. Rieber | 23 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Faas | 18 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Z. Collins | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| J. Mani | 16 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| G. Kocevar | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Soqui Urbano | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Muniz | 35 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| B. Rechsteiner | 30 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| C. Booth | 30 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| J. Butler | 29 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| K. Jorgensen | 25 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| R. Mbemba | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Slater | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. McIver | 12 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| A. Kiudulas | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter