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Fresno State Bulldogs 63
@
Colorado State Rams 67
2026-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Fresno State Bulldogs Colorado State Rams Spread Result
Elo 16.1% 83.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 27.5% 72.5% - ✓
Margin 21.9% 78.1% +7.0 ✓ (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 39.1% 60.9% - ✓
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 25.5% 74.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 25.6% 74.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 33.3% 66.7% - ✓

Actual: Colorado State Rams +4 (67-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Fresno State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Heidbreder 40 8-15 4-9 6-6 3 3 1 0 4 26 14 -
D. Gory 39 5-14 2-7 0-0 10 2 1 2 4 12 9 -
B. Rieber 39 1-5 0-3 2-2 2 4 1 0 3 4 3 -
C. Faas 30 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 5 5 -
W. Jacques 29 1-6 0-1 0-0 7 2 1 2 0 2 8 -
G. Kocevar 22 7-9 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 1 1 14 12 -
A. Soqui Urbano 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Booth 35 6-12 0-2 6-8 6 0 0 1 0 18 13 -
J. Muniz 33 1-6 1-4 1-2 3 7 1 0 1 4 8 -
K. Jorgensen 31 4-9 0-2 0-0 3 5 1 1 1 8 8 -
J. Butler 31 7-13 6-9 0-0 9 2 0 0 2 20 16 -
B. Rechsteiner 31 2-6 1-5 2-2 2 3 1 0 3 7 4 -
J. Pascarelli 11 2-6 1-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 5 0 -
J. McIver 10 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 3 3 -
R. Mbemba 8 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 2 5 -
A. Kiudulas 6 0-2 0-1 0-1 2 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
D. Slater 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter