Model Predictions
| Model | Fresno State Bulldogs | San José State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.1% | 35.9% | -3.2 | ✓ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San José State Spartans -15 (55-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Heidbreder | 40 | 2-11 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | +13.0 |
| D. Gory | 37 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | +10.4 |
| Z. Collins | 36 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 18 | +12.0 |
| W. Jacques | 33 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 16 | +29.7 |
| C. Faas | 26 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +13.6 |
| D. Douglas Jr. | 14 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | +5.1 |
| M. Diouf | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -16.2 |
| B. Rieber | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.9 |
| M. Porto | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.0 |
| D. Stickman | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
San José State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Washington | 38 | 4-14 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 3 | -10.7 |
| M. Bell Jr. | 37 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 19 | - |
| P. Goodarzi | 27 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -11.6 |
| A. Myers | 26 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -9.0 |
| S. NgaNga | 20 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | -4.3 |
| J. Moupadele | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +0.8 |
| B. Roseborough | 11 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +4.5 |
| C. Garland | 10 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -8.2 |
| D. Langford | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -14.4 |
| M. Overstreet | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +6.3 |
* = starter