Model Predictions
| Model | Fresno State Bulldogs | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.7% | 95.3% | +16.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies +13 (91-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Gory | 35 | 8-17 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| W. Jacques | 35 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| J. Heidbreder | 32 | 5-10 | 3-8 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Z. Collins | 29 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| D. Douglas Jr. | 16 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| B. Rieber | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| C. Faas | 11 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | - |
| G. Kocevar | 11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| A. Soqui Urbano | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| J. Mani | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Diouf | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Porto | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. King | 31 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| MJ Collins | 26 | 5-12 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 2 | - |
| K. Templin | 24 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| M. Falslev | 23 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Z. Keller | 22 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| D. Allen | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| A. Elamin | 19 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| E. Perryman | 19 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| G. Clark | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
* = starter