Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | Fresno State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.6% | 49.4% | -0.1 | ✗ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.0% | 5.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs +2 (98-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Fleming Jr. | 37 | 9-12 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 25 | - |
| K. Hamilton | 35 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| I. Williamson | 35 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 5-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| D. Gibbs-Lawhorn | 32 | 10-13 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 21 | - |
| W. Brown | 20 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| E. Stephen | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Green | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| N. Cunningham | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Bannarbie | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Cunningham | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Heidbreder | 39 | 9-14 | 4-7 | 7-9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 21 | - |
| D. Gory | 36 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | - |
| W. Jacques | 35 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Z. Collins | 28 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 5 | - |
| D. Douglas Jr. | 25 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | - |
| B. Rieber | 21 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 10-13 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| C. Faas | 12 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| G. Kocevar | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Soqui Urbano | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter