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2026-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Fresno State Bulldogs Nevada Wolf Pack Spread Result
Elo 11.8% 88.2% -
Bradley-Terry 19.5% 80.5% -
Margin 16.1% 83.9% +9.1 (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 37.5% 62.5% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.6% 84.4% -
Log Adjusted 15.4% 84.6% -
Points Off/Def 29.3% 70.7% -

Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +10 (69-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Fresno State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Gory 38 6-12 3-6 2-4 5 4 0 0 0 17 14 -
J. Heidbreder 37 3-11 2-8 5-6 3 1 0 0 3 13 3 -
D. Douglas Jr. 27 4-10 2-8 3-4 2 0 0 0 0 13 5 -
B. Rieber 25 3-7 2-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 8 -2 -
Z. Collins 23 0-5 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 1 0 2 -
W. Jacques 20 2-4 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 1 4 7 -
G. Kocevar 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
C. Faas 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Mani 3 0-1 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Camper Jr. 36 6-12 3-7 0-0 5 3 1 0 2 15 10 -
V. Weems 31 5-10 1-5 4-4 4 0 3 1 1 15 12 -
K. Lowery 24 3-7 0-3 2-2 9 1 1 0 0 8 12 -
E. Price 24 3-5 0-0 4-6 8 0 2 0 2 10 13 -
T. Rolison 22 3-8 1-3 4-4 4 5 0 0 1 11 11 -
T. Comer 22 1-5 1-2 2-5 1 2 0 0 1 5 2 -
J. Coleman 14 1-1 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 2 0 3 11 -
C. Bailey III 14 0-6 0-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 -4 -
J. Armotrading 6 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
A. Robinson 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
M. Walker 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter