Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Fresno State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.4% | 17.6% | -8.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.5% | 13.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.6% | 13.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs -2 (78-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hall | 36 | 8-12 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| L. Haupt | 31 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| T. Buljan | 29 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | - |
| U. Tenette | 28 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| D. Albury | 27 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 21 | - |
| A. Chol | 23 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| T. Miller | 15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| JT Rock | 11 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Gory | 39 | 9-15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 17 | - |
| J. Heidbreder | 36 | 8-14 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Z. Collins | 33 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| W. Jacques | 32 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| B. Rieber | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| G. Kocevar | 15 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| C. Faas | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Mani | 8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Soqui Urbano | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter